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  3. Is Earth Getting Warmer? The National Academy of Sciences claimed recently that people should caution rather than panic abou

Is Earth Getting Warmer? The National Academy of Sciences claimed recently that people should caution rather than panic abou

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问题                   Is Earth Getting Warmer?
    The National Academy of Sciences claimed recently that people should caution rather than panic about the greenhouse effect. It is said that the greenhouse effect will result in global warming, which will elevate the earth’s temperature by 3～9 degrees Fahrenheit. The greenhouse effect results when carbon dioxide (CO2) and certain other gases in the atmosphere allow the sun’s ultraviolet rays to penetrate and warm the earth, but then absorb the infrared energy the earth radiates back into space—much as glass in a greenhouse does—forming a kind of "thermal blanket" around the planet. The greenhouse effect will mean much more than hotter summers and milder winters. It may alter rainfall, affect crop yields and eventually—as glaciers begin to melt—raise the level of the seas. It had long been reported that the earth’s temperature would rise, melting the icecaps, raising the seas, flooding the land. Half of Long Island would be under water. Midwest would become a desert. However, the findings of latest studies have indicated that the earth might not undergo warmer temperatures and rather it may experience colder weather.   Due to the variable behavior of the sun, the earth may be confronted with another Ice Age. In the past, concern about a man-made warming of the earth has concentrated on the Arctic because the Antarctic is much colder and has a much thicker ice sheet. But the weather experts are now paying more attention to West Antarctic, which may be affected by only a few degrees of warming: in other words, by a warming on the scale that will possibly take place in the next fifty years from the burning of fuels.
(A) [■] Satellite pictures show that large areas of Antarctic ice are already disappearing.
(B) [■] The evidence available suggests that a warming has taken place. This fits the theory that carbon dioxide warms the earth,
(C) [■] Scientists conclude, therefore, that up to now natural influences on the weather have exceeded those caused by man. The question is: Which natural cause has most effect on the weather?.
(D)[■]   One possibility is the variable behavior of the sun. Astronomers at one research station have studied the hot spots and "cold" spots (that is, the relatively less hot spots) on the sun. As the sun rotates, every 27.5 days, it presents hotter or "colder" faces to the earth, and different aspects to different parts of the earth. This seems to have a considerable effect on the distribution of the earth’s atmospheric pressure, and consequently on wind circulation. The sun is also variable over a long term: its heat output goes up and down in cycles, the latest trend being downward. Scientists are now finding mutual relations between models of solar-weather interactions and the actual climate over many thousands of years, including the last Ice Age. The problem is that the models are predicting that the world should be entering a new Ice Age and it is not, One way of solving this theoretical difficulty is to assume a delay of thousands of years while the solar effects overcome the inertia of the earth’s climate. If this is right, the warming effect of carbon dioxide might thus be serving as a useful counterbalance to the sun’s diminishing heat.   In addition to the variable behavior of the sun, new research has also demonstrated that global warming will probably lead in the end to a period of much colder weather, at least in Europe. Scientists base their theory on what happened the last time the world warmed up, 8300 years ago. They have discovered that when the ice melted from the northern polar ice cap it became trapped in an enormous lake in northern Canada. As more ice melted this lake suddenly burst open, releasing millions of tons of freezing fresh water into the North Atlantic. This flood of water was so large that it prevented the normal flow of water in the Atlantic, which takes warm water from the tropics north to Europe and thus temperatures in Europe dropped by between three and eight degrees Celsius over the next two hundred years. Scientists believe that a similar process could occur in the next century if the Greenland Ice Sheet starts to melt.
In Paragraph 3, it is assumed that the possible reason that the earth is not experiencing an Ice Age as it should be is that
选项 A、the sun’s heat output does not follow certain regulations
B、no rule can be drawn from the sun’s rotation
C、there is no way to model the sun’s rotation
D、It takes time for the sun to reduce the inertia of the earth’s climate
答案D
解析 本题为事实信息题，主要考查考生抓住文章中阐明的信息并排除干扰项的能力。题目问：根据第三段的内容，地球本应经历冰川时代但却没有经历，原因是什么?根据第三段倒数第二句“One way of solving this theoretical difficulty is to assume a delay of thousands of years while the solar effects overcome the inertia of the earth’s climate”，即“解决这类理论难题的一种方法是：当太阳的作用克服了地球气候的惯性作用时，似定将时间推迟几千年”，所以选项D为正确答案。
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