2. 外语
  3. (1)Desertification, drought, and despair—that’s what global warming has in store for much of Africa. Or so we hear. (2)Emerg

(1)Desertification, drought, and despair—that’s what global warming has in store for much of Africa. Or so we hear. (2)Emerg

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问题     (1)Desertification, drought, and despair—that’s what global warming has in store for much of Africa. Or so we hear.
    (2)Emerging evidence is painting a very different scenario, one in which rising temperatures could benefit millions of Africans in the driest parts of the continent. Scientists are now seeing signals that the Sahara desert and surrounding regions are greening due to increasing rainfall. If sustained, these rains could revitalize drought-ravaged regions, reclaiming them for farming communities. This desert-shrinking trend is supported by climate models, which predict a return to conditions that turned the Sahara into a lush plain some 12,000 years ago.
    (3)The green shoots of recovery are showing up on satellite images of regions including the Sahel, a semi-desert zone bordering the Sahara to the south mat stretches some 2,400 miles.
    (4)Images taken between 1982 and 2002 revealed extensive regreening throughout the Sahel, according to a new study in me journal Biogeosciences. The study suggests huge increases in vegetation in areas including central Chad and western Sudan. The transition may be occurring because hotter air has more capacity to hold moisture, which in turn creates more rain, said Martin Claussen of the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology in Hamburg, Germany, who was not involved in me new study.
    (5)"The water-holding capacity of the air is the main driving force," Claussen said.
    (6)While satellite images can’t distinguish temporary plants like grasses that come and go with the rains, ground surveys suggest recent vegetation change is firmly rooted. In the eastern Sahara area of southwestern Egypt and northern Sudan, new trees are flourishing, according to Stefan Kropelin, a climate scientist at the University of Cologne’s Africa Research Unit in Germany.
    (7)"Shrubs are coming up and growing into big shrubs. This is completely different from having a bit more tiny grass," said Kropelin, who has studied the region for two decades. In 2008 Kroepelin—not involved in the new satellite research—visited Western Sahara, a disputed territory controlled by Morocco. "The nomads there told me there was never as much rainfall as in the past few years," Kropelin said. "They have never seen so much grazing land."
    (8)"Before, there was not a single scorpion, not a single blade of grass," he said. "Now you have people grazing their camels in areas which may not have been used for hundreds or even thousands of years. You see birds, ostriches, coming back, even sorts of amphibians coming back," he said. "The trend has continued for more than 20 years. It is indisputable."
    (9)An explosion in plant growth has been predicted by some climate models. For instance, in 2005 a team led by Reindert Haarsma of the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute in De Bilt, the Netherlands, forecast significantly more future rainfall in the Sahel. The study in Geophysical Research Letters predicted that rainfall in the July to September wet season would rise by up to two millimeters a day by 2080.
    (10)Satellite data shows "that indeed during the last decade, the Sahel is becoming more green," Haarsma said. Even so, climate scientists don’t agree on how future climate change will affect the Sahel: Some studies simulate a decrease in rainfall. "This issue is still rather uncertain," Haarsma said.
    (11)Max Planck’s Claussen said North Africa is the area of greatest disagreement among climate change modelers. Forecasting how global warming will affect the region is complicated by its vast size and the unpredictable influence of high-altitude winds that disperse monsoon rains, Claussen added. "Half the models follow a wetter trend, and half a drier trend."
The sentence "... North Africa is the area of greatest disagreement among climate change modelers." in the last paragraph suggests that_____.
选项 A、half of me area will follow a wetter trend, while half a drier trend
B、the scientists in North Africa hold different opinions in climate models
C、it is not easy to predict how the climate change influences the district
D、there are different climate models to be built in North Africa
答案C
解析 该句意为“北非是气候变化建模者分歧最大的地区”。下文对该句作出解释，即，由于该地区幅员辽阔，高原季风会吹散季风雨，预测全球变暖如何影响该地区很复杂，故答案为C。A是对原文末句的曲解，原文是说一半人预测该地区雨量增多，一半人认为雨量减少，并非该地区一半雨量增多，一半雨量减少；B中的scientists in North Africa这一限定错误：D中to be built没有根据。
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