2. 外语
  3. One analyst predicts that Hong Kong can retain its capitalist ways after it becomes part of mainland China in 1997 as long as a

One analyst predicts that Hong Kong can retain its capitalist ways after it becomes part of mainland China in 1997 as long as a

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问题 One analyst predicts that Hong Kong can retain its capitalist ways after it becomes part of mainland China in 1997 as long as a capitalist Hong Kong is useful to China; that a capitalist Hong Kong will be useful to China as long as Hong Kong is prosperous; and that Hong Kong will remain prosperous as long as it retains its capitalist ways. If the predictions above are correct, which of the following further predictions can logically be derived from them?
选项 A、If Hong Kong fails to stay prosperous, it will no longer remain part of mainland China.
B、If Hong Kong retains its capitalist ways until 1997, it will be allowed to do so afterward.
C、If there is a world economic crisis after 1997, it will not adversely affect the economy of Hong Kong.
D、Hong Kong will be prosperous after 1997.
E、The citizens of Hong Kong will have no restrictions placed on them by the government of mainland China.
答案B
解析 回忆我们在前面所强调的得出结论题型要把握的三点：(1)要把握段落层次结构；(2)一般不能有新概念；(3)不能与段落信息相违背；(4)不能有新的绝对化语言。如果香港维持资本主义道路直到1997年，根据预测，直到那时它将继续保持繁荣，那时它对中国有用，因此得到允许维持它的资本主义道路。同样的论述表明香港将得到允许从那以后维持它的资本主义道路，因此，选项(B)可以从该结论中推导出来，是正确答案；那些预测只说在一定条件下会发生什么，由于选项(A)和(C)都预先假设了其他条件，因此两个选项都不能被推导出来；相似地，由于那些预测没有说会无条件地发生什么，选项(D)是无条件的，不能被推导出来；因为没有做出关于加在市民身上的管制的预测，选项(E)也不能被推导出来。
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