首页
外语
计算机
考研
公务员
职业资格
财经
工程
司法
医学
专升本
自考
实用职业技能
登录
考研
Positive surprises from government reports on retail sales, industrial production, and housing in the past few months are leadin
Positive surprises from government reports on retail sales, industrial production, and housing in the past few months are leadin
admin
2010-11-27
31
问题
Positive surprises from government reports on retail sales, industrial production, and housing in the past few months are leading economists to revise their real gross domestic product forecasts upward, supporting the notion that the recession ended in December or January.
Bear in mind: This recovery won’t have the vitality normally associated with an upturn. Economists now expect real GDP growth of about 1.5% in the first quarter. That’s better than the 0.4% the consensus projected in December, but much of the additional growth will come from a slower pace of inventory drawdowns, not from surging demand.
Moreover, the economy won’t grow fast enough to help the labor markets much. The only good news there is that jobless claims have fallen back from their spike after September 11 and that their current level suggests the pace of layoffs is easing.
The recovery also does not mean the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates soon. The January price indexes show that inflation remains tame. Consequently, the Fed can take its time shifting monetary policy from extreme accommodation to relative neutrality.
Perhaps the best news from the latest economic reports was the January data on industrial production. Total output fell only 0.1%, its best showing since July. Factory output was flat, also the best performance in six months. Those numbers may not sound encouraging, but manufacturers have been in recession since late 2000. The data suggest that the factory sector is finding a bottom from which to start its recovery.
Production of consumer goods, for instance, is almost back up to where it was a year ago. That’s because consumer demand for motor vehicles and other goods and the housing industry remained healthy during the recession, and they are still growing in early 2002.
Besides, both the monthly homebuilding starts number and the housing market index for the past two months are running above their averages for all of 2001, suggesting that homebuilding is off to a good start and probably won’t be a big drag on GDP growth this year.
Equally important to the outlook is how the solid housing market will help demand for home-related goods and services. Traditionally, consumers buy the bulk of their furniture, electronics and textiles within a year of purchasing their homes. Thus, spending on such items will do well this year, even as car sales slip now that incentives are less attractive. Look for the output of consumer goods to top year-ago levels in coming months.
Even the business equipment sector seems to have bottomed out. Its output rose 0.4% in January, led by a 0.6% jump computer gear. A pickup in orders for capital goods in the fourth quarter suggests that production will keep increasing—although at a relaxed pace—in coming months.
选项
A、their government is announcing the end of a recession.
B、US economy is showing some signs of an upturn so soon.
C、some economic sectors have become leading industries.
D、they have to revise the product forecasts so often.
答案
B
解析
细节推断题。题干问,美国经济学家们对什么感到诧异。文章第一段指出政府报告中关于过去几个月的零售业、工业生产和房地产的positive surprise使得经济学家们修改了他们关于GDP的预测,这说明美国经济是呈恢复趋势的。
转载请注明原文地址:https://jikaoti.com/ti/iP7RFFFM
0
考研英语一
相关试题推荐
ItcanbeinferredfromtheopeningparagraphthatAmericanIdolisthenameof______.WhatcanbeinferredaboutVoteforthewo
Therearemanyfeaturesthat(1)_____amovieasAmerican,butperhapsthemost(2)_____isthethemeoftheloner-hero(孤胆英雄).I
Anawkward-lookingcharactersuchasCyranodeBergeracmightsniffatthesuggestion,butrecentscientificresearchshowsbeau
Anawkward-lookingcharactersuchasCyranodeBergeracmightsniffatthesuggestion,butrecentscientificresearchshowsbeau
Inaquietcourtroomtuckedawayinafederalbuildinghere,atitanicbattleiscompetingfreespeechagainstgovernmenteffort
Whenitcomestosuingdoctors,Philadelphiaishardlythecityofbrotherlylove.Acombinationofsprightlylawyersandsympat
StarTrekismentionedinthetextsoasto______.Abiomed’sheartdistinguishesitselffromJarvik’sinthat______.
FewpeoplewoulddefendtheVictorianattitudetochildren,butifyouwereaparentinthosedays,atleastyouknewwhereyou
Withthedevelopmentoftheglobaleconomy,manycompaniesstatetheirbasicobjectiveofengaginginaworldwidemanufacturing
U.S.courtrestrictionsonaffirmative-actionsignifythatWhathasbeenadivisiveissueacrosstheUnitedStates?
随机试题
下述哪项不是急性乳腺炎的早期临床表现
inclusioncompound
没有咬合关系的位是
请简述《中华民国临时政府组织大纲》的主要内容、性质和历史意义。
砌体房屋中,在确定墙体高厚比时,下列哪种叙述是正确的?
按使用寿命分组的产品损坏率一般表现为()分布。
如图所示.两束单色光A、B分别沿不同半径方向由空气射入半圆形玻璃砖,出射光合成一复色光P。关于A、B两束单色光的说法,正确的是()。
Onacoldwinterafternoon,Susanwaswalkinghomefromasupermarket.Shewasfeelingalittletired,asshewascarryinghers
为了使物理层在实现1000Mbps速率时所使用的传输介质和信号编码方式的变化不会影响(),IEEE802.3z标准调整了物理层。
打开考生文件夹下的演示文稿yswg.pptx,按照下列要求完成对此文稿的修饰并保存。第一张幻灯片的版式改为“两栏内容”,将考生文件夹下的图片文件pptl.jpeg插入到第一张幻灯片右侧的内容区,图片动画设置为“进入"、“旋转”,文本动画设置为“进入”、
最新回复
(
0
)