Horrible toilets. Stagnant puddles buzzing with dengue-spreading mosquitoes. Collapsing masonry. Lax security. A terrorist attac

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问题     Horrible toilets. Stagnant puddles buzzing with dengue-spreading mosquitoes. Collapsing masonry. Lax security. A terrorist attack. India’s preparations for the 72-nation Commonwealth games, which are scheduled to open in Delhi on October 3rd, have not won favorable reviews. The contrast with China’s practically flawless hosting of the Olympic games in 2008 could hardly be starker. Many people will draw the wrong lesson from this.
    Despite the headlines, India is doing rather well. Its economy is expected to expand by 8.5% this year. It has a long way to go before it is as rich as China—the Chinese economy is four times bigger— but its growth rate could overtake China’s by 2013, if not before. Some economists think India will grow faster than any other large country over the next 25 years. Rapid growth in a country of 1.2 billion people is exciting, to put it mildly.
    There are two reasons why India will soon start to outpace China. One is demography. China’s workforce will shortly start ageing; in a few years’ time, it will start shrinking. India is now blessed with a young and growing workforce. Its dependency ratio—the proportion of children and old people to working age adults—is one of the best in the world and will remain so for a generation. India’s economy will benefit from this "demographic dividend", which has powered many of Asia’s economic miracles.
    The second reason for optimism is India’s much-desired democracy. The notion that democracy retards development in poor countries has gained currency in recent years. Certainly, it has its disadvantages. Elected governments bow to the demands of selfish factions and interest groups. Even the most urgent decisions are endlessly debated and delayed.
    China does not have this problem. When its technocrats decide to dam a river, build a road or move a village, the dam goes up, the road goes down and the village disappears. The displace villagers may be compensated, but they are not allowed to stand in the way of progress. China’s leaders make rational decisions that balance the needs of all citizens over the long term. This has led to rapid, sustained growth that has lifted hundreds of millions of people out of poverty.
    India’s state may be weal, but its private companies are strong. Indian capitalism is driven by millions of entrepreneurs all furiously doing their own thing. Since the early 1990s, when India opened up to foreign trade, Indian business has boomed. The country now boasts legions of thriving small business and a fair number of world-class ones whose English-speaking bosses network confidently with the global elite. They are less dependent on state patronage than Chinese firms, and often more innovative. Ideas flow easily around India, since it lacks China’s culture of secrecy and censorship. That, plus China’s rampant privacy, is why knowledge-based industries such as software love India but shun the Middle Kingdom.
    Given the choice between doing business in China or India, most foreign investors would probably pick China. The market is bigger, the government easier to deal with. But as the global economy become more knowledge-intensive, India’s advantage will grow. That is something to ponder while stuck in the Delhi traffic.
On which of the following would the author least probably agree?

选项 A、India’s GDP growth will outpace China in some day.
B、India could be a dreamland for foreign investors.
C、China has a strong central government because it lacks democracy.
D、Indian should learn from China in many aspects.

答案C

解析 属信息推断题。在文章第二段,作者就预测印度经济增速将超过中国,故选项A符合文意。文章最后一段最后一句暗示印度在未来值得外国投资者考虑,由此可推断故选项B符合文意。作者在文章多处都叙述了中国的各种优点,无非是希望印度能够从中借鉴一二,故选项D也符合文意。选项C妄自揣测,文中并没有说中国缺乏民主,故本题应选择C。
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